Markets hoping for Bush 3

CONVENTIONAL wisdom gets turned on its head pretty quickly in the financial markets. Although many on Wall Street were gloomy about the prospects under a Trump presidency, the markets have switched round pretty quickly after the overnight decline on election day.

So many people (including us) had warned of the crazy policies of Mr Trump that there was always going to be a market for contrarians to say that he won’t be that bad after all. Especially among white, prosperous financial commentators there is a willingness to “normalise” Trump – to tell the groups he has insulted and threatened to get over their fears. What Trump does in office will be different from what he says on the campaign, they think.

What investors clearly hope is that Trump will get to implement some of his policies but not all – in particular the tax cuts for the wealthy and for business, increased military spending and financial deregulation. An early sign that this may not be that “revolt against the elite” that some commentators are claiming is a surge in bank…Continue reading

from Business and finance http://www.economist.com/blogs/buttonwood/2016/11/wont-get-fooled-again?fsrc=rss

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